Category Archives: Statistics

COVID-19 Deaths In Context: How Many People Die Each Day?

As the COVID-19 pandemic rages on, the media continues to rattle off statistics at full force.

However, as Visual Capitalist’s Jenna Ross notes, without a frame of reference, numbers such as the death toll can be difficult to interpret. Mortalities attributed to the virus, for example, are often measured in the thousands of people per day globally—but is this number a little or a lot, relative to typical causes of death?

Today’s graphic uses data from Our World in Data to provide context with the total number of worldwide daily deaths. It also outlines how many people who die each day from specific causes.

Worldwide Deaths by Cause

Nearly 150,000 people die per day worldwide, based on the latest comprehensive research published in 2017. Which diseases are the most deadly, and how many lives do they take per day?

Here’s how many people die each day on average, sorted by cause:

Cardiovascular diseases, or diseases of the heart and blood vessels, are the leading cause of death. However, their prominence is not reflected in our perceptions of death nor in the media.

While the death toll for HIV/AIDS peaked in 2004, it still affects many people today. The disease causes over 2,600 daily deaths on average.

Interestingly, terrorism and natural disasters cause very few deaths in relation to other causes. That said, these numbers can vary from day to day—and year to year—depending on the severity of each individual instance.

Total Daily Deaths by Country

On a national level, these statistics vary further. Below are the total deaths from all causes for selected countries, based on 2017 data.

China and India both see more than 25,000 total deaths per day, due to their large populations.

However, with 34.7 daily deaths per million people each day, Russia has the highest deaths proportional to population out of any of these countries.

While these numbers help provide some context for the global scale of COVID-19 deaths, they do not offer a direct comparison.

The fact is that many of the aforementioned death rates are based on much larger and consistent sample sizes of data. On the flipside, since WHO declared COVID-19 a pandemic on March 11, 2020, daily confirmed deaths have fallen in a wide range between 272 and 10,520 per day—and there is no telling what could happen in the future.

On top of this variance, data on confirmed COVID-19 deaths has other quirks. For example, testing rates for the virus may vary between jurisdictions, and there have also been disagreements between authorities on how deaths should even be tallied in the first place. This makes getting an accurate picture surprisingly complicated.

While it’s impossible to know the true death toll of COVID-19, it is clear that in some countries daily deaths have reached rates 50% or higher than the historical average for periods of time:

Time, and further analysis, will be required to determine a more accurate COVID-19 death count.

A Swiss Doctor on Covid-19

Source

 

A Swiss medical doctor provided the following information on the current situation in order to enable our readers to make a realistic risk assessment. (Below you will find regular, but not daily, updates on medical and political developments.)

***

According to the latest data of the Italian National Health Institute ISS, the average age of the positively-tested deceased in Italy is currently about 81 years. 10% of the deceased are over 90 years old. 90% of the deceased are over 70 years old.

80% of the deceased had suffered from two or more chronic diseases. 50% of the deceased had suffered from three or more chronic diseases. The chronic diseases include in particular cardiovascular problems, diabetes, respiratory problems and cancer.

Less than 1% of the deceased were healthy persons, i.e. persons without pre-existing chronic diseases. Only about 30% of the deceased are women.

The Italian Institute of Health moreover distinguishes between those who died from the coronavirus and those who died with the coronavirus. In many cases it is not yet clear whether the persons died from the virus or from their pre-existing chronic diseases or from a combination of both.

The two Italians deceased under 40 years of age (both 39 years old) were a cancer patient and a diabetes patient with additional complications. In these cases, too, the exact cause of death was not yet clear (i.e. if from the virus or from their pre-existing diseases).

The partial overloading of the hospitals is due to the general rush of patients and the increased number of patients requiring special or intensive care. In particular, the aim is to stabilize respiratory function and, in severe cases, to provide anti-viral therapies.

(Update: The Italian National Institute of Health published a statistical report on test-positive patients and deceased, confirming the above data.)

The doctor also points out the following aspects:

Northern Italy has one of the oldest populations and the worst air quality in Europe, which has already led to an increased number of respiratory diseases and deaths in the past and is likely an additional risk factor in the current epidemic.

South Korea, for instance, has experienced a much milder course than Italy and has already passed the peak of the epidemic. In South Korea, only about 70 deaths with a positive test result have been reported so far. As in Italy, those affected were mostly high-risk patients.

The few dozen test-positive Swiss deaths so far were also high-risk patients with chronic diseases, an average age of more than 80 years and a maximum age of 97 years, whose exact cause of death, i.e. from the virus or from their pre-existing diseases, is not yet known.

Furthermore, according to a first Chinese study, the internationally used virus test kits may give a false positive result in some cases. In these cases, the persons may not have contracted the new coronavirus, but presumably one of the many existing human coronaviruses that are part of the annual (and currently ongoing) common cold and flu epidemics. (1)

Thus the most important indicator for judging the danger of the disease is not the frequently reported number of positively-tested persons and deaths, but the number of persons actually and unexpectedly developing or dying from pneumonia (so-called excess mortality).

According to all current data, for the healthy general population of school and working age, a mild to moderate course of the Covid-19 disease can be expected. Senior citizens and persons with existing chronic diseases should be protected. The medical capacities should be optimally prepared.

Medical literature

(1) Zhuang et al., Potential false-positive rate among the ‚asymptomatic infected individuals‘ in close contacts of COVID-19 patients, Chinese Medical Association Publishing House, March 2020.

(2) Grasselli et al., Critical Care Utilization for the COVID-19 Outbreak in Lombardy, JAMA, March 2020.

(3) WHO, Report of the WHO-China Joint Mission on Coronavirus Disease 2019, February 2020.

Reference values

Important reference values include the number of annual flu deaths, which is up to 8,000 in Italy and up to 60,000 in the US; normal overall mortality, which in Italy is up to 2,000 deaths per day; and the average number of pneumonia cases per year, which in Italy is over 120,000.

Current all-cause mortality in Europe and in Italy is still normal or even below-average. Any excess mortality due to Covid-19 should become visible in the European monitoring charts.

Winter smog (NO2) in Northern Italy in February 2020 (ESA)

Continue here for updates:

Source

The Massive Covid-19 Hoax

I hope he is right but meanwhile I will keep precautions and follow the advice of our medical rulers.

By all accounts and from the very beginning it was clear that Coronavirus Disease 2019 (Covid-19) was at the very most a bad cold – little more dangerous than the annual flu – but being deliberately hyped to stampede the public into a tangled web of bad policies.

As early as last month cooler-headed experts warned that hyped death rates spread by politicians, the Western corporate media, other various panic-mongers, and even World Health Organization (WHO) officials would give way to much, much lower death rates as more people were tested, found to have had the virus, and showed little to no symptoms.

The numbers of infections versus deaths in Iceland where testing has been the most widespread shows a death rate of about 0.5%, though only 5% of the population has been tested. 50% of those tested showed no symptoms at all meaning that many, many more Icelanders likely had the virus, overcame it with ease, and never visited a doctor or hospital to avail themselves for testing or to make into national Covid-19 statistics.

Another study conducted in the United States by Stanford University found the infection rate was likely 50-85 times higher than reported – meaning the death rate was astronomically lower than reported at around 0.2% to as low as 0.12% – not the 3-4% claimed by the World Health Organization.

In other words – Covid-19 is no more dangerous or deadly than the annual flu. But it has been hyped as such by Western politicians, the Western corporate media, and even international institutions like WHO – a deliberate deception accompanied by coordinated theater including government briefings with reporters comically spaced out in “fear” of contracting Covid-19.

Other props used to panic the public into imprisoning themselves at home and accepting the immense socioeconomic damage “lockdowns” are causing included showing the expotential graphs of infections seemingly rising straight up with no end in sight.

If responsible journalists put these graphs in context – say, perhaps next to annual flu infection curves – the public would notice they are identical and simply represent the way the flu, colds, and Covid-19 which is related to both – work their way through populations.

The same goes for total deaths. Should the media present Covid-19 deaths in the context of and in comparison to annual deaths from the flu, Americans – for example – would see that versus the 2019 flu season, Covid-19 is actually 30,000-40,000 deaths short of just matching the common flu – saying nothing of living up to the hype and hysteria the government and media have deliberately created around Covid-19 to justify lockdowns.

So why have governments around the globe crippled their economies, put millions out of work, and placed draconian measures in place to, in essence, imprison their populations at home?

Those with power and money seek to keep what they have and to take what little is left in the hands of others. During the manufactured “War on Terror,” similar hysteria was deliberately spread across society to justify draconian police powers at home and endless wars abroad – pouring ultimately trillions into the accounts of defense contractors and the financial institutions invested in them.

During a manufactured health crisis like the 2009 H1N1 “Swine Flu” outbreak, the unfounded fear of an uncontrollable pathogen ravaging the population helped justify the centralizing of control over people’s health and lifestyle while pumping billions in pubic funding into the coffers of big-pharma.

And here we are again with the very same interests who lied to us about all of the above, doing it again and on a much larger and more destructive scale – creating socioeconomic havoc virtually no one will escape completely.

If the Covid-19 hoax doesn’t convince you to divest from the politicians and the corporations they serve – including divesting from big-business’ goods and services – nothing will. Special interests just beta-tested turning entire nations into virtual prisons. If people allow it this time, their ability to do it again and to an even greater and more disruptive degree is all but guaranteed.

*

Tony Cartalucci writes on his blog site, Land Destroyer Report, where this article was originally published. He is a frequent contributor to Global Research.

All images in this article are from LDR unless otherwise stated

Wow! Blog Talk: Stats and Shadow Banning 

This reincarnation of the blog is really the same blog but with a 3 at the end. As such, Facebook and Google algorithms do not recognize me. The previous version, Tales 2, was banned from Facebook and shadow-banned by Google. How do I know? Well, Facebook would not allow anyone to post from Tales 2, and I would get like 25 referrals from the Google search engine. At the moment I am getting dozens of referrals from FB and hundreds from the Google engine.

See how easy it is for corporations to manipulate content and ideologies?

I am not doing this for clicks. It helps me think and organize my thoughts around subjects that are at times difficult to grasp.

This is crazy but this blog is getting almost one thousand views per day. Not bad after only three days and no censorship, eh?

 

 

 

 

Coronavirus: Which countries have confirmed cases?

Look at the number of cases versus the variance in the death rates. It makes no sense.

Source

http://www.aljazeera.com

April 19,2020

More than 2.2 million infections confirmed in at least 185 countries and territories, including some 154,000 deaths.

New cases of the novel coronavirus that emerged in the central Chinese city of Wuhan in late December are being reported daily around the world.

More than 154,000 people have died from COVID-19, the disease caused by the new coronavirus, while some 2.2 million infections have been confirmed in at least 185 countries and territories. More than 500,000 people have recovered to date.

Here are the countries that have so far confirmed coronavirus cases:

United States – 735,287 cases, 39,090 deaths

Spain – 194,416 cases, 20,639 deaths

Italy – 175,925 cases, 23,227 deaths

France – 152,978 cases, 19,349 deaths

Germany – 143,724 cases, 4,538 deaths

United Kingdom – 115,314 cases, 15,498 deaths

China – 83,804 cases, 4,636 deaths

Turkey – 82,329 cases, 1,890 deaths

Iran – 80,868 cases, 5,031 deaths

Russia – 42,853 cases, 361 deaths

Belgium – 37,183 cases, 5,453 deaths

Brazil – 36,925 cases, 2,372 deaths

Canada – 34,386 cases, 1,520 deaths

Netherlands – 31,766 cases, 3,613 deaths

INTERACTIVE: Coronavirus COVID-19 symptoms explainer

Switzerland – 27,404 cases, 1,368 deaths

Portugal – 19,685 cases, 687 death

India – 16,365 cases, 521 deaths

Ireland – 14,758 cases, 571 deaths

Austria – 14,671 cases, 443 deaths

Peru – 14,420 cases, 348 deaths

Sweden – 13,822 cases, 1,511 deaths

Israel – 13,362 cases, 171 deaths

South Korea – 10,661 cases, 234 deaths

Japan –  10,296 cases, 222 deaths

Chile – 9,730 cases, 126 deaths

Poland – 9,802 cases, 350 deaths

Ecuador – 9,022 cases, 456 deaths

Romania – 8,418 cases, 434 death

Saudi Arabia – 8,274 cases, 92 deaths

Pakistan – 7,993 cases, 159 deaths

Mexico – 7,497 cases, 650 deaths

Denmark – 7,438 cases, 346 deaths

Norway – 7,069 cases, 164 death

Czech Republic – 6,657 cases, 181 deaths

Singapore – 6,588 cases, 11 deaths

Australia – 6,547 cases, 67 deaths

Coronavirus timeline 29/01/20

United Arab Emirates – 6,302 cases, 37 deaths

Philippines – 6,259 cases, 409 deaths

Indonesia – 6,248 cases, 582 deaths

Serbia – 5,994 cases, 117 deaths

Ukraine – 5,449cases, 141 deaths

Malaysia – 5,305 cases, 89 deaths

Qatar – 5,008 cases, 8 deaths

Belarus – 4,779 cases, 45 deaths

Dominican Republic – 4,335 cases, 217 deaths

Panama – 4,273 cases, 120 deaths

Finland – 3,681 cases, 90 deaths

Colombia – 3,621 cases, 166 deaths

Luxembourg – 3,537 cases, 72 deaths

South Africa – 3,034 cases, 52 deaths

Coronavirus symptoms

Egypt – 3,032 cases, 224 deaths

Argentina – 2,839 cases, 132 deaths

Thailand – 2,765 cases, 47 deaths

Morocco – 2,685 cases, 137 deaths

Algeria – 2,534 cases, 367 deaths

Moldova – 2,378 cases, 61 deaths

Greece – 2,235 cases, 110 deaths

Bangladesh – 2,144 cases, 91 deaths

Hungary – 1,916 cases, 189 deaths

Croatia – 1,832 cases, 39 deaths

Bahrain – 1,773 cases, 7 deaths

Iceland – 1,760 cases, 9 deaths

Kuwait – 1,751 cases, 6 deaths

Kazakhstan – 1,661 cases, 17 deaths

Estonia – 1,528 cases, 40 deaths

Iraq – 1,513 cases, 82 deaths

Uzbekistan – 1,495 cases, 5 deaths

New Zealand – 1,431 cases, 12 deaths

Azerbaijan – 1,373 cases, 18 deaths

Slovenia – 1,317 cases, 70 deaths

Lithuania – 1,298 cases, 33 deaths

Armenia – 1,291 cases, 20 deaths

Coronavirus symptoms

Bosnia and Herzegovina – 1,268 cases, 47 deaths

Oman – 1,266 cases, 6 deaths

North Macedonia – 1,170 cases, 49 deaths

Slovakia – 1,089 cases, 12 deaths

Cameroon – 1,017 cases, 42 deaths

Afghanistan – 993 cases, 32 deaths

Cuba – 986 cases, 32 deaths

Bulgaria – 884 cases, 42 deaths

Tunisia – 866 cases, 37 deaths

Ghana – 834 cases, 9 deaths

Ivory Coast – 801 cases, 8 deaths

Cyprus – 761 cases, 12 deaths

Djibouti – 732 cases, 2 deaths

Latvia – 727 cases, 5 deaths

Andorra – 704 cases, 35 deaths

Lebanon – 672 cases, 21 deaths

Costa Rica – 665 cases, 4 deaths

Niger – 639 cases, 19 deaths

Burkina Faso – 565 cases, 36 deaths

Kyrgyzstan – 554 cases, 5 deaths

Albania – 548 cases, 26 deaths

Nigeria – 542 cases, 19 deaths

Bolivia – 520 cases, 32 deaths

Guinea – 518 cases, 3 death

Uruguay – 517 cases, 9 deaths

Kosovo – 510 cases, 12 deaths

Honduras – 472 cases, 46 deaths

San Marino – 455 cases, 39 deaths

Malta – 426 cases, 3 deaths

Occupied Palestinian Territories – 418 cases, 7 deaths

Jordan – 413 cases, 7 deaths

Taiwan – 398 cases, 6 deaths

Georgia – 394 cases, 4 deaths

Senegal – 350 cases, 3 deaths

Mauritius – 325 cases, 9 deaths

Montenegro – 308 cases, 5 deaths

Democratic Republic of the Congo – 307 cases, 25 deaths

Vietnam – 268 cases

Kenya – 262 cases, 12 deaths

Guatemala – 257 cases, 7 deaths

Sri Lanka – 254 cases, 7 deaths

Venezuela – 227 cases, 9 deaths

Mali – 216 cases, 13 deaths

Paraguay – 206 cases, 8 deaths

El Salvador – 201 cases, 7 deaths

Jamaica – 173 cases, 5 deaths

Tanzania – 147 cases, 5 deaths

Rwanda – 144 cases

Republic of the Congo – 143 cases, 6 deaths

Brunei – 137 cases, 1 death

Somalia – 135 cases, 7 deaths

Cambodia – 122 cases

Madagascar – 120 cases

Trinidad and Tobago – 114 cases, 8 deaths

Gabon – 108 cases, 1 death

Myanmar – 107 cases, 5 deaths

Ethiopia – 105 cases, 3 deaths

Monaco – 94 cases, 3 death

Togo – 84 cases, 5 deaths

Equatorial Guinea – 79 cases

Liechtenstein – 79 cases, 1 death

Liberia – 76 cases, 7 deaths

Barbados – 75 cases, 5 deaths

Sudan – 66 cases, 10 deaths

Guyana – 63 cases, 6 deaths

Cape Verde – 58 cases, 1 death

Zambia – 57 cases, 2 deaths

Bahamas – 55 cases, 9 deaths

Uganda – 55 cases

Coronavirus: How can people protect themselves?

Libya – 49 cases, 1 death

Guinea-Bissau – 46 cases

Haiti – 44 cases, 3 deaths

Eritrea – 39 cases

Syria – 38 cases, 2 deaths

Benin – 35 cases, 1 death

Maldives – 35 cases

Mozambique – 35 cases

Chad – 33 cases

Mongolia – 32 cases

Nepal – 31 cases

Sierra Leone – 30 cases

Zimbabwe – 25 cases, 3 deaths

Angola – 24 cases, 2 deaths

Antigua and Barbuda – 23 cases, 3 deaths

Eswatini – 22 cases, 1 death

Laos – 19 cases

Belize – 18 cases, 2 deaths

East Timor – 18 cases

Fiji – 17 cases

Malawi – 17 cases, 2 deaths

Dominica – 16 cases

Namibia – 16 cases

Botswana – 15 cases, 1 death

Saint Lucia – 15 cases

Grenada – 14 cases

Saint Kitts and Nevis – 14 cases

Central African Republic – 12 cases

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines – 12 cases

Seychelles – 11 cases

Suriname – 10 cases, 1 death

Gambia – 9 cases, 1 death

Nicaragua – 9 cases, 2 death

Vatican – 8 cases

Mauritania – 7 cases, 1 death

Papua New Guinea – 7 cases

Western Sahara – 6

Bhutan – 5 cases

Burundi – 5 cases, 1 death

Sao Tome and Principe – 4 cases

South Sudan – 4 cases

Yemen – 1 case

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SOURCE: AL JAZEERA AND NEWS AGENCIES